Skip to main content

Table 5 Item to outcome agreement where outcome is matched to appropriate level or higher.

From: The DUNDRUM-1 structured professional judgment for triage to appropriate levels of therapeutic security: retrospective-cohort validation study

 

All assessed over a three month period

April to June 2009 (n = 246)

All diverted from prison to hospital over a

two year period 2008-2009 (n = 100)

 

Observed proportion in Agreementa

99% CI of observed proportion in agreement

Observed proportion in Agreementa

99% CI of observed proportion in agreement

TS1: serious violence

.85

.79 - .91

.88

.79 - .97

TS2: serious self harm

.91

.86 - .96

.98

.94 - .99

TS3: immediacy of violence risk

.89

.84 - .94

.72

.60 - .84

TS4: immediacy of self harm risk

.97

.94 - .99

.99

.96 - .99

TS5: specialist forensic need

.96

.92 - .99

.95

.89 - .99

TS6: absconding risk

.89

.85 - .95

.92

.84 - .99

TS7: preventing access

.92

.87 - .96

.90

.82 - .98

TS8: victim sensitivities

.93

.89 - .97

.81

.71 - .91

TS9: complex risks

.81

.75 - .87

.79

.68 - .89

TS10: institutional behaviour

.91

.86 - .96

.99

.96 - .99

TS11: legal procedure

.95

.92 - .99

.90

.82 - .98

  1. First sample all assessed after screening over a three month period, n = 246; second sample all diverted to hospitals over a two year period n = 100. aBinomial test for observed proportions differing from test proportion 0.5, based on Z approximation all p < 0.001 (2-tailed).