High-risk sample (N = 170) | GP-identified sample (N = 141) | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Official algorithma | Screening questionsb | Official algorithma | Screening questionsb | |||||||||||||
Cross-tabulation | a | b | c | d | a | b | c | d | a | b | c | d | a | b | c | d |
25 | 8 | 42 | 95 | 49 | 15 | 12 | 93 | 73 | 3 | 40 | 25 | 106 | 21 | 7 | 7 | |
Prevalence | 0.39 (67/170) | 0.36 (61/170) | 0.80 (113/141) | 0.80 (113/141) | ||||||||||||
Positive predictive value | 0.77 (25/32) | 0.76 (49/64) | 0.96 (73/76) | 0.84 (106/127) | ||||||||||||
[0.71–0.83] | [0.70–0.83] | [0.93–0.99] | [0.77–0.90] | |||||||||||||
Negative predictive value | 0.69 (95/138) | 0.88 (93/105) | 0.38 (25/65) | 0.50 (7/14) | ||||||||||||
[0.62–0.76] | [0.83–0.93] | [0.30–0.46] | [0.42–0.58] | |||||||||||||
Positive likelihood ratio | 5.1 [4.41–5.79] | 5.71 [4.93–6.49] | 6.03 [5.12–6.94] | 1.25 [1.16–1.35] | ||||||||||||
Negative likelihood ratio | 0.68 [0.61–0.75] | 0.23 [0.17–0.30] | 0.40 [0.32–0.48] | 0.25 [0.18–0.32] | ||||||||||||
Sensitivity | 0.37 (25/67) | 0.80 (49/61) | 0.65 (73/113) | 0.94 (106/113) | ||||||||||||
[0.30–0.44] | [0.74–0.86] | [0.57–0.72] | [0.90–0.98] | |||||||||||||
Specificity | 0.93 (95/103) | 0.86 (93/108) | 0.89 (25/28) | 0.25 (7/28) | ||||||||||||
[0.89–0.97] | [0.81–0.91] | [0.84–0.94] | [0.18–0.32] | |||||||||||||
Overall accuracy | 0.71 (95 + 25/170) | 0.84 (93 + 49/170) | 0.70 (73 + 25/141) | 0.80 (106 + 7/141) | ||||||||||||
[0.64–0.78] | [0.78–0.89] | [0.62–0.77] | [0.74–0.87] | |||||||||||||
Area under the curve | 0.65* | 0.83* | 0.77 [0.68–0.86] | 0.60 [0.47–0.72] | ||||||||||||
[0.64–0.66] | [0.82–0.84] |