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Table 10 DUNDRUM-1 triage security items, DUNDRUM-3 programme completion items and DUNDRUM-4 recovery items related to outcomes

From: Susceptibility (risk and protective) factors for in-patient violence and self-harm: prospective study of structured professional judgement instruments START and SAPROF, DUNDRUM-3 and DUNDRUM-4 in forensic mental health services

  Harm to others 12/94 Harm to self 7/94
  AUC 95% CI p OR 95% CI p AUC 95% CI p OR 95% CI P
   lower upper    lower upper    lower upper    lower upper  
  DUNDRUM-1 triage security
TS1 Seriousness of violence .454 .275 .634 .610 1.012 0.436 2.347 0.978 .365 .133 .596 .235 0.769 0.344 1.721 0.523
TS2 Seriousness of self-harm .627 .477 .776 .158 1.278 0.858 1.904 0.227 .665 .506 .824 .148 1.373 0.832 2.265 0.215
TS3 Immediacy of risk of violence .587 .385 .790 .330 1.517 0.969 2.376 0.069 .701 .459 .944 .078 1.646 0.931 2.909 0.087
TS4 Immediacy of risk of suicide/ self harm .665 .505 .824 .066 1.545 0.870 2.744 0.138 .704 .528 .881 .073 1.506 0.727 3.121 0.270
TS5 Specialist forensic need .630 .491 .769 .147 1.239 0.520 2.950 0.629 .623 .459 .788 .280 0.734 0.287 1.879 0.519
TS6 Absconding / eloping .586 .397 .775 .336 1.239 0.520 2.950 0.629 .499 .235 .764 .994 0.734 0.287 1.879 0.519
TS7 Preventing access .640 .484 .797 .118 1.926 0.888 4.179 0.097 .526 .321 .732 .818 1.162 0.462 2.923 0.750
TS8 Victim sensitivity/public confidence issues .504 .280 .727 .968 1.265 0.394 4.060 0.693 .596 .307 .886 .400 1.265 0.394 4.060 0.693
TS9 Complex Risk of Violence .686 .539 .833 .038 3.324 1.154 9.576 0.026 .644 .455 .832 .208 2.464 0.691 8.781 0.164
TS10 Institutional behaviour .793 .645 .940 .001 2.665 1.158 6.134 0.021 .787 .662 .912 .012 2.665 1.158 6.134 0.021
TS11 Legal process .454 .272 .636 .610 2.757 1.427 5.324 0.003 .438 .203 .672 .584 0.479 0.084 2.723 0.407
  DUNDRUM-3 programme completion
PC1 Physical health .692 .522 .861 .033 2.078 1.066 4.050 0.032 .617 .383 .850 .307 1.529 0.717 3.258 0.272
PC2 Mental health .803 .697 .909 .001 4.898 1.646 14.576 0.004 .801 .672 .931 .008 5.175 1.192 22.467 0.028
PC3 Drugs and Alcohol .771 .619 .923 .002 2.469 1.252 4.871 0.009 .663 .442 .885 .152 1.566 0.808 3.033 0.184
PC4 Problem behaviours .662 .536 .787 .072 2.041 1.004 4.148 0.049 .677 .525 .830 .120 2.212 0.821 5.958 0.116
PC5 Self-care and activities of daily living .752 .618 .886 .005 2.978 1.378 6.437 0.006 .705 .502 .909 .072 2.203 0.934 5.197 0.071
PC6 Education, Occupation and Creativity .817 .682 .951 .000 3.708 1.733 7.936 0.001 .775 .637 .913 .016 2.588 1.145 5.849 0.022
PC7 Family and Social Networks .698 .544 .852 .027 1.906 1.073 3.386 0.028 .620 .402 .837 .293 1.456 0.750 2.827 0.267
  DUNDRUM-4 recovery
RC1 Stability .765 .642 .889 .003 2.493 1.263 4.923 0.008 .760 .619 .902 .022 2.627 1.034 6.674 0.042
RC2 Insight .649 .511 .788 .096 1.614 0.921 2.828 0.095 .622 .464 .779 .287 1.456 0.728 2.913 0.289
RC3 Rapport and Working Alliance .676 .535 .817 .050 2.053 1.014 4.157 0.046 .670 .527 .813 .136 2.075 0.832 5.180 0.118
RC4 Leave .623 .481 .765 .170 1.600 0.890 2.876 0.117 .594 .398 .789 .412 1.406 0.690 2.863 0.348
RC5 HCR-20 Dynamic Items .671 .539 .803 .057 3.891 0.736 20.571 0.110 .695 .546 .845 .087 1.109 1.029 1.198 0.043
RC6 Victim Sensitivity Issues .657 .478 .835 .081 1.500 0.886 2.540 0.132 .695 .461 .928 .088 1.666 0.804 3.451 0.170