| |
Construction sample
|
Validation sample
|
|---|
|
Specific type of care needs
|
AUC (95% CI)
|
BS
a
|
SMBS
|
RIS
|
AUC (95% CI)
|
BS
a
|
SMBS
|
RIS
|
|---|
|
Supervision order
|
.767*** (.745 - .788)
|
.0636***
|
.0628
|
.0389
|
.741*** (.719 - .762)
|
.0616***
|
.0604
|
.0378
|
|
Total worrisome incidents
|
.809*** (.788 - .828)
|
.0789
|
.0805
|
.0003
|
.758*** (.736 - .778)
|
.0899
|
.0904
|
.0023
|
|
Child abuse
|
.908*** (.892 - .921)
|
.0458***
|
.0482
|
.0230
|
.823*** (.804 - .841)
|
.0490***
|
.0497
|
.0299
|
|
Domestic violence
|
.790*** (.769 - .810)
|
.0721**
|
.0744
|
.0051
|
.740*** (.718 - .761)
|
.0797
|
.0821
|
.0093
|
|
Domestic strife
|
.937*** (.923 - .948)
|
.0416***
|
.0408
|
.0157
|
.870*** (.853 - .886)
|
.0458***
|
.0442
|
.0220
|
|
Sexual offensive behavior
|
.855*** (.837 - .872)
|
.0734*
|
.0715
|
.0452
|
.846*** (.828 - .863)
|
.0497***
|
.0500
|
.0277
|
- aThe statistical significance of individual Brier scores was determined by calculating the Spiegelhalter’s Z statistic, with significant values indicating extreme values. Non-significant results indicate better overall performance.
- AUC = Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.
- CI = Binomial exact confidence interval.
- BS = Brier score.
- SMBS = Sanders-modified Brier score (with the data grouped into eleven risk categories).
- RIS = Reliability-in-the-small.
- *p < .05; **p < .01; ***p < 0.001.
