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Table 4 Prediction of serious suicidality at follow-up among participants reporting no suicidality at baseline (N = 6,057)

From: Baseline factors predictive of serious suicidality at follow-up: findings focussing on age and gender from a community-based study

 

Males OR (95% CI)

Variables entered

20s

40s

60s

Demographics

   

   Marital status

   

Married/partnered (ref)

1.00

1.00

1.00

Divorced/Separated/Widowed

^

0.62 (0.0, 2.82)

4.29 (0.0, 8.75)

Never married

1.33 (0.23, 2.44)

0.83 (0.0, 3.51)

^

   Years studied to highest qualification

0.73 (0.44, 1.02)

1.10 (0.88, 1.32)

0.99

   Parent of (a) child(ren)

0.52 (0.0, 2.70)

1.35 (0.0, 3.20)

^

   Employment

   

Employed

1.00

1.00

1.00

Not employed

1.28 (0.0, 2.67)

^

^

Not in labour force

0.52 (0.0, 2.62)

4.08** (1.68, 6.48)

0.49 (0.0, 1.63)

Relationships and Life Stressors

   

Number of life events

1.12 (0.88, 1.36)

1.13 (0.73, 1.52)

1.24 (0.0, 2.51)

Childhood adversity

1.08 (0.88, 1.27)

0.90 (0.66, 1.14)

1.08 (0.0, 2.21)

Negative interactions with friends

1.05 (0.83, 1.27)

1.20 (0.88, 1.53)

0.89 (0.0, 1.79)

Negative interactions with family

0.90 (0.69, 1.11)

1.09 (0.82, 1.37)

0.95 (0.0, 1.91)

 

Females OR (95% CI)

Variables entered

20s

40s

60s

Demographics

   

   Marital status

   

Married/partnered (ref)

1.00

1.00

1.00

Divorced/Separated/Widowed

^

1.75 (0.0, 3.62)

2.83 (0.50, 5.17)

Never married

4.17*** (3.11, 5.23)

1.05 (0.0, 2.58)

^

   Years studied to highest qualification

1.08 (0.83, 1.33)

1.01 (0.0, 2.19)

0.82 (0.40, 1.25)

   Parent of (a) child(ren)

1.59 (0.39, 2.80)

0.40 (0.0, 1.57)

^

   Employment

   

Employed

1.00

1.00

1.00

Not employed

0.63 (0.0, 2.76)

^

^

Not in labour force

2.12 (0.93, 3.31)

0.79 (0.0, 2.12)

0.45 (0.0, 2.10)

Relationships and Life Stressors

   

Number of life events

1.09 (0.85, 1.33)

0.89 (0.0, 1.91)

0.91 (0.06, 1.75)

Childhood adversity

1.06 (0.89, 1.22)

1.10 (0.0, 2.43)

1.33 (0.98, 1.68)

Negative interactions with friends

1.00 (0.78, 1.23)

0.84 (0.0, 1.77)

0.93 (0.41, 1.45)

Negative interactions with family

0.88 (0.70, 1.06)

0.95 (0.0, 2.04)

1.13 (0.70, 1.57)

 

Males OR (95% CI)

Variables entered

20s

40s

60s

Health & Substance use

   

   Physical medical condition

1.96 (0.34, 3.57)

0.82 (0.0, 2.15)

0.61 (0.0, 1.75)

   Depression & Anxiety

1.02 (0.91, 1.12)

1.14* (1.02, 1.26)

1.08 (0.0, 2.26)

   Current smoker

0.71 (0.0, 1.59)

0.83 (0.0, 2.20)

1.05 (0.0, 2.72)

   Marijuana use

   

Don't use (includes previous users; reference group)

1.00

1.00

1.00

Once or twice per year

1.88 (0.92, 2.85)

^

^

Once every one to four months

1.22 (0.0, 2.46)

^

^

At least once per week

1.60 (0.31, 2.90)

^

^

   AUDIT†

   

Abstain

1.00

1.00

1.00

Occasional/light drinking

0.61 (0.0, 1.92)

0.75 (0.0, 2.38)

1.06 (0.0, 2.78)

Medium level drinking

0.76 (0.0, 2.37)

1.42 (0.0, 3.21)

1.19 (0.0, 3.21)

Hazardous/harmful drinking

2.00 (0.25, 3.74)

1.50 (0.0, 4.15)

^

Personality

   

   Psychoticism

1.03 (0.81, 1.24)

1.06 (0.77, 1.34)

1.37 (0.0, 2.90)

   Mastery

0.96 (0.84, 1.09)

1.00 (0.85, 1.16)

0.97 (0.0, 2.01)

 

Females OR (95% CI)

Variables entered

20s

40s

60s

Health & Substance use

   

   Physical medical condition

3.18*** (2.09, 4.26)

1.45 (0.0, 3.01)

0.43 (0.0, 2.32)

   Depression & Anxiety

1.09* (1.00, 1.18)

1.01 (0.0, 2.26)

1.28* (1.04, 1.52)

   Current smoker

0.98 (0.12, 1.84)

1.39 (0.0, 2.92)

0.86 (0.0, 3.55)

   Marijuana use

   

Don't use (includes previous users; reference group)

1.00

1.00

1.00

Once or twice per year

1.03 (0.06, 2.00)

3.60 (0.0, 7.54)

^

Once every one to four months

0.68 (0.0, 2.22)

^

^

At least once per week

1.72 (0.0, 3.45)

^

^

   AUDIT†

   

Abstain

1.00

1.00

1.00

Occasional/light drinking

1.00 (0.0, 2.17)

0.83 (0.0, 2.20)

1.23 (0.0, 3.38)

Medium level drinking

0.57 (0.0, 2.25)

0.98 (0.0, 2.52)

0.84 (0.0, 3.54)

Hazardous/harmful drinking

^

0.61 (0.0, 2.57)

^

Personality

   

   Psychoticism

1.12 (0.85, 1.39)

0.83 (0.0, 1.74)

1.61 (0.92, 2.30)

   Mastery

1.04 (0.91, 1.17)

0.89 (0.0, 1.95)

0.69 (0.26, 1.12)

  1. OR: Odds Ratios, 95% Confidence Interval, * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
  2. ^parameter not available due to small cell size
  3. †AUDIT is the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test