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Table 3 Predictive validity of client and case manager risk assessments for violent or criminal behaviour (n = 175)

From: Risk assessment by client and case manager for shared decision making in outpatient forensic psychiatry

Predictor B (s.e.) p OR (95 % CI) AUC (95 % CI) p
Univariate analyses      
Client mean critical vulnerabilities −0.26 (0.13) 0.037 0.77 (0.60–0.98) 0.62 (0.52–0.72) 0.032
Client mean key strengths −0.33 (0.14) 0.019 0.72 (0.54–0.95) 0.65 (0.55–0.74) 0.009
Case manager mean critical vulnerabilities 0.20 (0.40) 0.617 1.22 (0.56–2.67) 0.53 (0.42–0.64) 0.609
Case manager mean key strengths −0.52 (0.49) 0.289 0.60 (0.23–1.55) 0.54 (0.43–0.65) 0.471
Case manager sum vulnerabilities 0.08 (0.03) 0.008 1.08 (1.02–1.14) 0.63 (0.52–0.74) 0.018
Case manager sum strengths −0.05 (0.03) 0.080 0.95 (0.90–1.01) 0.61 (0.52–0.71) 0.043
Case manager risk estimate for violence 0.79 (0.33) 0.015 2.21 (1.16–4.18) 0.62 (0.51–0.73) 0.030
Multivariate analysis      
Client mean critical vulnerabilities −0.28 (0.13) 0.040 0.76 (0.59–0.99)   
Client mean key strengths −0.28 (0.14) 0.048 0.75 (0.57–1.00)   
Case manager risk estimate for violence 0.77 (0.34) 0.024 2.15 (1.11–4.18)   
     0.70 (0.60–0.80) <0.001