Table 3 Predictive validity of client and case manager risk assessments for violent or criminal behaviour (n = 175)
Predictor | B (s.e.) | p | OR (95 % CI) | AUC (95 % CI) | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Univariate analyses | |||||
Client mean critical vulnerabilities | −0.26 (0.13) | 0.037 | 0.77 (0.60–0.98) | 0.62 (0.52–0.72) | 0.032 |
Client mean key strengths | −0.33 (0.14) | 0.019 | 0.72 (0.54–0.95) | 0.65 (0.55–0.74) | 0.009 |
Case manager mean critical vulnerabilities | 0.20 (0.40) | 0.617 | 1.22 (0.56–2.67) | 0.53 (0.42–0.64) | 0.609 |
Case manager mean key strengths | −0.52 (0.49) | 0.289 | 0.60 (0.23–1.55) | 0.54 (0.43–0.65) | 0.471 |
Case manager sum vulnerabilities | 0.08 (0.03) | 0.008 | 1.08 (1.02–1.14) | 0.63 (0.52–0.74) | 0.018 |
Case manager sum strengths | −0.05 (0.03) | 0.080 | 0.95 (0.90–1.01) | 0.61 (0.52–0.71) | 0.043 |
Case manager risk estimate for violence | 0.79 (0.33) | 0.015 | 2.21 (1.16–4.18) | 0.62 (0.51–0.73) | 0.030 |
Multivariate analysis | |||||
Client mean critical vulnerabilities | −0.28 (0.13) | 0.040 | 0.76 (0.59–0.99) | ||
Client mean key strengths | −0.28 (0.14) | 0.048 | 0.75 (0.57–1.00) | ||
Case manager risk estimate for violence | 0.77 (0.34) | 0.024 | 2.15 (1.11–4.18) | ||
0.70 (0.60–0.80) | <0.001 |