Skip to main content

Table 4 Sensitivity and positive predictive value of a dichotomous classification distinguishing the 5 % of respondents with highest predicted probabilities of PTSD from other respondents based on replicated 10-fold cross-validation of the final model with 20 replicationsa

From: Post-traumatic stress disorder associated with life-threatening motor vehicle collisions in the WHO World Mental Health Surveys

 

Sensitivityb

Positive predictive valuec

 

%PTSD

(SE)

%PTSD

(SE)

Total

32.0

(3.2)

15.7

(2.0)

Country income

    

 High

49.8

(4.4)

24.2

(3.4)

 Low or middle

10.7

(2.4)

5.3

(1.3)

Age at collision

    

 30+ years old

17.7

(2.6)

8.7

(1.4)

  < 30 years old

47.7

(4.9)

23.4

(3.8)

Sex

    

 Female

48.5

(4.1)

26.4

(3.3)

 Male

8.5

(2.5)

3.7

(1.1)

Education

    

 Low or low-average

41.7

(4.1)

19.1

(2.7)

 High or high-average

14.2

(3.1)

8.1

(1.9)

  1. aTen-fold cross-validation involves dividing the sample into 10 separate random subsamples of equal size, estimating the model in each of the 10 separate 90 % subsamples created by deleting 1 of the 10 subsamples, and applying predicted values based on each set of coefficients only to the remaining 10 % of the sample. Replicated cross-validation involves repeating the cross-validation process some number of times (20 times in the current application), with a different random split of the sample into 10 equal-sized subsamples each time. Sensitivity and positive predictive value were calculated separately in each of these 200 subsamples and averaged to produce the results reported here
  2. bSensitivity = Proportion of all PTSD found among the 5 % of respondent with highest predicted probabilities based on the final model
  3. cPositive Predictive Value = Prevalence of PTSD among respondents in the row who are among the 5 % in the total sample with the highest predicted probabilities based on the final model